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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 1 May 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 1 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Dynamo Kyiv vs Veres Rivne (Dynamo Kyiv or draw) at 88% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 88%
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 87%
Chornomorets
1 : 4 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 84%
Chengdu Better City
2 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 83%
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 82%
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 18%
Draw 31%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Como or draw 82%
Como
2 : 1 FT
Cittadella
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Parma or draw 78%
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Sampdoria or draw 77%
Lecco
0 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Deinze or draw 76%
Deinze
2 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Venezia or draw 75%
Catanzaro
3 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 1 May 2024?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Dynamo Kyiv vs Veres Rivne (Dynamo Kyiv or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.