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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 28 April 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 28 April 2024. Bologna vs Udinese (Bologna or draw) sits top on 88% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy Bologna or draw 88%

✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Bologna Clean Sheet 57%

K League 1 · South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 87%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Lamphun Warrior or draw 87%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%

Eredivisie · Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 83%

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%

Eliteserien · Norway Brann or draw 83%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%

#10

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 83%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#12

Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 82%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%

#13

Süper Lig · Turkey Rizespor or draw 82%

#14

Serie A · Italy Fiorentina or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#15

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 82%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#16

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 81%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%

#17

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#18

Superettan · Sweden Helsingborg or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#19

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 79%

#20

Eredivisie · Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 79%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 28 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bologna vs Udinese (Bologna or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.