Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 21 January 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 January 2024. Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor (Fenerbahçe or draw) led the list at 94% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
94%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
94%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
93%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
93%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp or draw
90%
Championship · England
Leeds or draw
87%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
85%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
85%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
83%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
83%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC or draw
80%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense or draw
79%
Serie A · Italy
Frosinone or draw
79%
Premier League · England
West Ham or draw
77%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano or draw
77%
La Liga · Spain
Girona or draw
77%
Serie A · Italy
Monza or draw
77%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus or draw
76%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 21 January 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.