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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 29 December 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 29 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) at 93% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 93%

Championship · England Southampton or draw 90%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 88%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%

League One · England Burton Albion or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Burton Albion Clean Sheet 56%

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%

League One · England Wigan or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Portsmouth Clean Sheet 55%

League One · England Bolton or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#10

Championship · England Ipswich or draw 82%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%

#11

Serie A · Italy Lazio or draw 81%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

#12

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#13

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Raed or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#14

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 79%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#15

League One · England Lincoln or draw 79%

#16

League Two · England Barrow or draw 78%

#17

League Two · England AFC Wimbledon or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#18

Championship · England Preston or draw 78%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%

#19

League One · England Bristol Rovers or draw 78%

#20

Serie A · Italy Fiorentina or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 29 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.