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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 26 December 2023

Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26 Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 26 December 2023. Peterborough vs Reading (Peterborough or draw) sits top on 95% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Peterborough or draw 95%

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS No 58% Newcastle Clean Sheet 55%

League Two · England AFC Wimbledon or draw 91%

Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 63%

League One · England Oxford United or draw 86%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%

Championship · England Coventry or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Coventry Clean Sheet 56%

Serie B · Italy Venezia or draw 84%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%

Championship · England Cardiff or draw 83%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%

League Two · England Newport County or draw 82%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 82%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium OH Leuven or draw 80%

#11

League One · England Cheltenham or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%

#12

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 79%

#13

League Two · England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 79%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

#14

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 79%

#15

League One · England Wycombe or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#16

League One · England Charlton or draw 77%

#17

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 77%

#18

Championship · England Watford or draw 77%

#19

League One · England Barnsley or draw 76%

#20

Championship · England Hull City or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 26 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Peterborough vs Reading (Peterborough or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.