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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 23 December 2023

Wed 20 Thu 21 Fri 22 Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 23 December 2023. Leicester vs Rotherham (Leicester or draw) sits top on 93% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · England Leicester or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Premier League · England Fulham or draw 88%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 85%

League One · England Charlton or draw 85%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Süper Lig · Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 84%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Nasr or draw 83%

Serie A · Italy Torino or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%

#10

Serie A · Italy Bologna or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#11

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%

#12

League Two · England Wrexham or draw 82%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%

#13

Championship · England Plymouth or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#14

Serie B · Italy Venezia or draw 82%

#15

Serie B · Italy Sampdoria or draw 81%

#16

League Two · England Tranmere or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

#17

Thai League 1 · Thailand Sukhothai FC or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%

#19

Süper Lig · Turkey Sivasspor or draw 79%

#20

Serie B · Italy Cittadella or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 23 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leicester vs Rotherham (Leicester or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.