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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 3 December 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 3 December 2023. Colo Colo vs Union Espanola (Colo Colo or draw) sits top on 92% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile Colo Colo or draw 92%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 90%

Serie A · Brazil Palmeiras or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 87%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 86%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 69% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 59%

Eliteserien · Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 85%

Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#10

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 85%

#11

Premier League · Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 84%

#12

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 84%

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#13

Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#14

Ligue 1 · France Lille or draw 83%

#15

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 83%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%

#16

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#17

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 81%

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#18

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso or draw 81%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#19

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 81%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 66%

#20

Ligue 1 · France Toulouse or draw 81%

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 3 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Colo Colo vs Union Espanola (Colo Colo or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.