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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 1 December 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Friday 1 December 2023. Fatih Karagümrük vs İstanbulspor (Fatih Karagümrük or draw) sits top on 87% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 91%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 87%
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 85%
FC St. Pauli
2 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 83%
FC Schalke 04
4 : 0 FT
VfL Osnabrück
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 83%
Patro Eisden
0 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 54%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Utrecht or draw 80%
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw 80%
Emirates Club
2 : 4 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 20%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine Polessya or draw 80%
Polessya
1 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 78%
KVC Westerlo
1 : 3 FT
Anderlecht
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 77%
Heerenveen
3 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 77%
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 23%
Draw 36%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 75%
Ratchaburi
3 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 1 December 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Fatih Karagümrük vs İstanbulspor (Fatih Karagümrük or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.