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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 26 November 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 26 November 2023. Sparta Praha vs Zlin (Sparta Praha or draw) sits top on 92% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 92%
Sparta Praha
2 : 0 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 91%
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden Skövde AIK or draw 86%
Skövde AIK
3 : 0 FT
Falkenbergs FF
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia FC Rostov or draw 85%
FC Rostov
1 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 84%
Anderlecht
2 : 1 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 84%
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 84%
Antalyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Rizespor
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 84%
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 82%
AS Roma
3 : 1 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 82%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient or draw 82%
Lorient
2 : 3 FT
Metz
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 82%
Lech Poznan
1 : 3 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom or draw 81%
Lillestrom
4 : 4 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC or draw 81%
Servette FC
2 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium K. Lierse S.K. or draw 81%
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 4 FT
Standard Liège II
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#16 Super League Β· Switzerland Lausanne or draw 81%
Lausanne
1 : 0 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw 80%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 0 FT
SV Wehen
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 80%
America Mineiro
0 : 3 FT
Flamengo
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Botafogo or draw 80%
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 80%
Frosinone
2 : 1 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 26 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Praha vs Zlin (Sparta Praha or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.