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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 24 October 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Tuesday 24 October 2023. Orebro SK vs GIF Sundsvall (Orebro SK or draw) sits top on 88% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Sweden Orebro SK or draw 88%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%

League Two · England Wrexham or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 91% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 86%

League One · England Barnsley or draw 85%

League One · England Blackpool or draw 84%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%

League Two · England Morecambe or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Serie B · Italy Pisa or draw 82%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

League One · England Lincoln or draw 78%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%

#10

Championship · England Swansea or draw 78%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

#11

League Two · England Walsall or draw 78%

Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#12

League Two · England Grimsby or draw 78%

#13

League One · England Bristol Rovers or draw 77%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#14

League One · England Oxford United or draw 77%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

#15

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 77%

#16

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 76%

#17

Championship · England West Brom or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 24 October 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Orebro SK vs GIF Sundsvall (Orebro SK or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.