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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 2 September 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 2 September 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Vasteras SK FK vs IK brage (Vasteras SK FK or draw) at 91% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Sweden Vasteras SK FK or draw 91%

✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Vasteras SK FK Clean Sheet 55%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 89%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 89%

Serie B · Italy Palermo or draw 87%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 86%

Premier League · Russia Nizhny Novgorod or draw 85%

Serie B · Italy Parma or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 85%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%

#10

Super League · Switzerland FC Winterthur or draw 84%

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#11

Superettan · Sweden Utsikten or draw 84%

#12

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#13

Bundesliga · Austria Sturm Graz or draw 84%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

#14

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#15

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 83%

#16

Allsvenskan · Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#17

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 82%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 82%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#19

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 81%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%

#20

Bundesliga · Germany FC Augsburg or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 2 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vasteras SK FK vs IK brage (Vasteras SK FK or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.