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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 19 August 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 19 August 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC (Pacific FC or draw) at 88% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada Pacific FC or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Serie A · Brazil Fluminense or draw 86%

League One · England Peterborough or draw 85%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 84%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 84%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 84%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%

Eliteserien · Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

League Two · England Crewe or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#10

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 83%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%

#11

League One · England Bolton or draw 83%

#12

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#13

Allsvenskan · Sweden IFK Varnamo or draw 82%

#14

League One · England Charlton or draw 82%

#15

Premier League · Ukraine Ruh Lviv or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%

#16

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 81%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%

#17

Eredivisie · Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#18

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 80%

#19

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Klagenfurt or draw 80%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#20

League One · England Barnsley or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 19 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC (Pacific FC or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.