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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 12 August 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 12 August 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Meizhou Kejia vs Qingdao Jonoon (Meizhou Kejia or draw) at 88% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China Meizhou Kejia or draw 88%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%

Superettan · Sweden Osters IF or draw 87%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Championship · England Watford or draw 86%

Canadian Premier League · Canada HFX Wanderers FC or draw 85%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Widzew Łódź or draw 84%

K League 1 · South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Premier League · England Brighton or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#10

League One · England Exeter City or draw 79%

#11

K League 1 · South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#12

Super League · Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 78%

#13

Championship · England Huddersfield or draw 78%

#14

Superettan · Sweden Utsikten or draw 78%

#15

Championship · England Hull City or draw 78%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%

#16

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 78%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%

#17

Bundesliga · Austria Lask Linz or draw 78%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 77%

#19

Championship · England Cardiff or draw 77%

#20

League Two · England Gillingham or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 12 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Meizhou Kejia vs Qingdao Jonoon (Meizhou Kejia or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.