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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 7 May 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 7 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905 (Slavia Praha or draw) at 91% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 91%
Slavia Praha
6 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 87%
Viking
1 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 87%
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 71%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 87%
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 87%
Gaziantep FK
0 : 3 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 86%
Malmo FF
3 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 85%
Excelsior
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 84%
Giresunspor
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 84%
CSKA Moscow
2 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 84%
Estac Troyes
1 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
#11 League One Β· England Cambridge United or draw 84%
Cambridge United
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 84%
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#13 League One Β· England Exeter City or draw 83%
Exeter City
3 : 2 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#14 League One Β· England Ipswich or draw 83%
Fleetwood Town
2 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 83%
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 83%
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Superettan Β· Sweden Gais or draw 83%
Gais
2 : 1 FT
Trelleborg
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Sukhothai FC or draw 82%
Sukhothai FC
1 : 2 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 82%
Zenit
3 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken or draw 82%
Halmstad
1 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 7 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905 (Slavia Praha or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.