Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Wednesday 3 May 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
18 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 3 May 2023. IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad (IF Elfsborg or draw) led the list at 90% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg or draw
90%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
87%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
87%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
85%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
84%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg or draw
83%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dnipro-1 or draw
83%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
82%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken or draw
81%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF or draw
81%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis or draw
81%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk or draw
81%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
79%
Premier League · England
Liverpool or draw
78%
League One · England
Burton Albion or draw
77%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF or draw
76%
Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 3 May 2023?
18 fixtures met the criteria, led by IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad (IF Elfsborg or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.