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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 18 April 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 18 April 2023. Ipswich vs Port Vale (Ipswich or draw) led the list at 96% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Ipswich or draw 96%

✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS No 56% Ipswich Clean Sheet 54%

League One · England Fleetwood Town or draw 88%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%

League Two · England Stevenage or draw 85%

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Championship · England Millwall or draw 82%

League One · England Peterborough or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

League Two · England Bradford or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 79%

Championship · England Stoke City or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#10

Championship · England Burnley or draw 77%

#11

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 76%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 18 April 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Ipswich vs Port Vale (Ipswich or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.