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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 15 April 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 15 April 2023. Villarreal vs Valladolid (Villarreal or draw) led the list at 91% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 91%

BTTS No 62% Villarreal Clean Sheet 56%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 90%

BTTS No 61% FC Porto Clean Sheet 55%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 89%

Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

League One · England Ipswich or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 88%

Eintracht Frankfurt

1 : 1 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Waalwijk or draw 87%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 87%

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%

#10

Ligue 2 · France Bastia or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%

#11

Championship · England Coventry or draw 86%

Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Coventry Clean Sheet 53%

#12

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 85%

#13

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 85%

#14

Primera División · Chile Everton de Vina or draw 84%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%

#15

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#16

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#17

Ligue 2 · France Quevilly or draw 82%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%

#18

League One · England Barnsley or draw 82%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

#19

Serie B · Italy Genoa or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%

#20

Ligue 2 · France Sochaux or draw 81%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 15 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Villarreal vs Valladolid (Villarreal or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.