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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 9 April 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 9 April 2023. Buriram United vs Lampang FC (Buriram United or draw) sits top on 93% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 93%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Buriram United Clean Sheet 55%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 90%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 89%

Süper Lig · Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 87%

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 87%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 87%

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 87%

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 86%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

#11

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 86%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%

#12

K League 1 · South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 84%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

#13

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%

#14

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic České Budějovice or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%

#15

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 83%

#16

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Abha or draw 81%

#17

Thai League 1 · Thailand Chonburi FC or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#18

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 81%

#19

Ligue 1 · France Reims or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

#20

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 80%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 9 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Lampang FC (Buriram United or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.