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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 7 April 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 7 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Lecce vs Napoli (Napoli or draw) at 91% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 91%

BTTS No 63% Napoli Clean Sheet 58%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 91%

Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 69%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 89%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 55%

Ligue 1 · France Lens or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Helmond Sport or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vizela or draw 81%

League Two · England Carlisle or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

League One · England Ipswich or draw 80%

Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#10

Premier Division · Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%

#11

Championship · England Watford or draw 80%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

#12

League Two · England Gillingham or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#13

League One · England Charlton or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#14

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%

#15

Championship · England Blackpool or draw 78%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%

#16

Championship · England Stoke City or draw 78%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%

#17

League Two · England Northampton or draw 77%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#18

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 77%

#19

League One · England Fleetwood Town or draw 77%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

#20

League Two · England Stevenage or draw 76%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 7 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lecce vs Napoli (Napoli or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.