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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 19 March 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 19 March 2023. Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach (Red Bull Salzburg or draw) led the list at 92% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 92%
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 90%
Volos NFC
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 10%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 89%
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 86%
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 86%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 86%
Ajaccio
0 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 14%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 62%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Police Tero or draw 86%
Police Tero
1 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Police Tero Clean Sheet 54%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kayserispor or draw 85%
Kayserispor
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 85%
Antwerp
0 : 1 FT
Charleroi
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 83%
Universidad de Chile
0 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Warta Poznań or draw 83%
Warta Poznań
2 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 83%
Paris Saint Germain
0 : 2 FT
Rennes
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 83%
Gent
3 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 82%
Torino
0 : 4 FT
Napoli
Win 18%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 82%
Port FC
2 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 81%
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Real Sociedad or draw 80%
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 80%
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 80%
Slovácko
3 : 0 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Pardubice or draw 79%
Pardubice
3 : 1 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 19 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach (Red Bull Salzburg or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.