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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 14 January 2023

Wed 11 Thu 12 Fri 13 Sat 14 Sun 15 Mon 16 Tue 17

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 14 January 2023. Lens vs Auxerre (Lens or draw) led the list at 93% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · France Lens or draw 93%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 91%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 59%

Premier League · England Brentford or draw 90%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 90%

Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 88%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%

League Two · England Leyton Orient or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 54%

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 86%

Serie B · Italy Pisa or draw 86%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 85%

#10

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 85%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%

#11

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#12

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 82%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%

#13

Championship · England Burnley or draw 81%

#14

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 81%

#15

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 81%

#16

League One · England Exeter City or draw 80%

#17

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vizela or draw 79%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal Rio Ave or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#19

League Two · England Hartlepool or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#20

League One · England Bolton or draw 77%

Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 14 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lens vs Auxerre (Lens or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.