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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 6 January 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Friday 6 January 2023. Twente vs Emmen (Twente or draw) led the list at 92% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 92%
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon or draw 88%
Al Taawon
0 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 85%
Benfica
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 84%
Al-Nassr
2 : 0 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Valencia or draw 83%
Valencia
0 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 81%
Al-Adalah
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 79%
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV or draw 78%
MVV
2 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Den Bosch or draw 76%
Den Bosch
1 : 4 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 6 January 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Twente vs Emmen (Twente or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.