Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Thursday 29 December 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 29 December 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Sporting CP vs Pacos Ferreira (Sporting CP or draw) at 87% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
League Two supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
87%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd or draw
85%
League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday or draw
84%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
83%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille or draw
80%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
78%
Championship · England
Sunderland or draw
78%
Championship · England
Coventry or draw
77%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town or draw
77%
League Two · England
Salford City or draw
76%
League One · England
Shrewsbury or draw
76%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd or draw
75%
Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 29 December 2022?
twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Pacos Ferreira (Sporting CP or draw) at 87% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.