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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 19 October 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Wednesday 19 October 2022. Liverpool vs West Ham (Liverpool or draw) sits top on 89% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 89%
Liverpool
1 : 0 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 58%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 85%
Dnipro-1
2 : 2 FT
Inhulets
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 63% Dnipro-1 Clean Sheet 53%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 82%
Elche
0 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 60%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 81%
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 81%
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Championship Β· England Blackpool or draw 80%
Blackpool
1 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 79%
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine Vorskla Poltava or draw 77%
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#9 Championship Β· England Millwall or draw 77%
Millwall
3 : 0 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Premier League Β· England Bournemouth or draw 76%
Bournemouth
0 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 76%
Union Espanola
1 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 76%
Bangkok United
0 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 19 October 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs West Ham (Liverpool or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.