Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 18 October 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 18 October 2022. Brighton vs Nottingham Forest (Brighton or draw) led the list at 93% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Brighton or draw 93%
Brighton
0 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Brighton Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Sion or draw 89%
FC Winterthur
1 : 0 FT
FC Sion
Win 11%
Draw 17%
Win 72%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium OH Leuven or draw 84%
AS Eupen
4 : 2 FT
OH Leuven
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Premier League Β· England Crystal Palace or draw 83%
Crystal Palace
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#5 Championship Β· England Stoke City or draw 82%
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 79%
Genk
6 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Championship Β· England Swansea or draw 78%
Swansea
3 : 2 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 78%
RB Bragantino
0 : 2 FT
Santos
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 76%
Getafe
2 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 52%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 18 October 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Brighton vs Nottingham Forest (Brighton or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.