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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 19 August 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Friday 19 August 2022. Estoril vs Rio Ave (Estoril or draw) sits top on 86% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril or draw 86%
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 83%
UCD
1 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 83%
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 81%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 79%
Buriram United
6 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 79%
Helmond Sport
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 21%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla or draw 79%
Sevilla
1 : 1 FT
Valladolid
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Deinze or draw 78%
Deinze
3 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium AS Eupen or draw 78%
AS Eupen
1 : 3 FT
Seraing United
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#10 Super League Β· China Changchun Yatai or draw 78%
Hebei Zhongji
1 : 7 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 22%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon or draw 77%
Lyon
4 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 76%
Ümraniyespor
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 19 August 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Estoril vs Rio Ave (Estoril or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.