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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 21 August 2022

Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23 Wed 24

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 August 2022. Zenit vs Torpedo Moskva (Zenit or draw) led the list at 96% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 96%

Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Zenit Clean Sheet 57%

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 85%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 84%

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga or draw 83%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 83%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%

#10

Canadian Premier League · Canada Valour or draw 83%

#11

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 82%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#12

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%

#13

Canadian Premier League · Canada Forge or draw 82%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%

#14

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#15

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%

#16

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 81%

#17

Superettan · Sweden Trelleborg or draw 81%

#18

Premier League · Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 81%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%

#19

Super League · China Henan Jianye or draw 80%

#20

Superettan · Sweden Halmstad or draw 80%

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 21 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs Torpedo Moskva (Zenit or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.