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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 15 August 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Monday 15 August 2022. IK brage vs Landskrona BoIS (IK brage or draw) led the list at 83% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage or draw 83%
IK brage
1 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland SJK or draw 82%
HIFK Helsinki
0 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 81%
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 7 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden IF Brommapojkarna or draw 80%
IF Brommapojkarna
1 : 0 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 76%
#5 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 80%
Liverpool
1 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Maritimo or draw 78%
Maritimo
1 : 2 FT
Chaves
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 76%
Athletic Club
0 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken or draw 76%
BK Hacken
1 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Quevilly or draw 75%
Quevilly
2 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 15 August 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by IK brage vs Landskrona BoIS (IK brage or draw) at 83% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.