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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 14 August 2022

Thu 11 Fri 12 Sat 13 Sun 14 Mon 15 Tue 16 Wed 17

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 14 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Malmo FF vs GIF Sundsvall (Malmo FF or draw) at 95% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden Malmo FF or draw 95%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 60% Malmo FF Clean Sheet 58%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 90%

Veikkausliiga · Finland KuPS or draw 88%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 87%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%

Eliteserien · Norway Lillestrom or draw 86%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 86%

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso or draw 85%

Premier League · Russia FC Orenburg or draw 84%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

#10

Premier League · Russia Khimki or draw 83%

#11

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 83%

#12

Primera División · Chile Colo Colo or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#13

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#14

Serie B · Italy Brescia or draw 82%

#15

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#16

Superettan · Sweden Skövde AIK or draw 82%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 68% Skövde AIK Clean Sheet 54%

#17

Allsvenskan · Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 81%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vitória SC or draw 79%

#19

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 79%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%

#20

Thai League 1 · Thailand Port FC or draw 79%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 14 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Malmo FF vs GIF Sundsvall (Malmo FF or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.