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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 24 July 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 24 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Atletico-MG vs Corinthians (Atletico-MG or draw) at 82% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 82%
Atletico-MG
1 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#2 Primera División · Chile Everton de Vina or draw 80%
Everton de Vina
0 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Veikkausliiga · Finland KuPS or draw 80%
KuPS
5 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#4 Super League · Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 80%
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Superettan · Sweden IF Brommapojkarna or draw 80%
IF Brommapojkarna
5 : 2 FT
Norrby IF
✓ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 80%
Sandefjord
2 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 20%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Premier League · Russia Akhmat or draw 79%
Akhmat
2 : 1 FT
Fakel
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Bundesliga · Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 79%
Rapid Vienna
1 : 0 FT
Ried
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Canadian Premier League · Canada Atlético Ottawa or draw 79%
York United
0 : 3 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Bundesliga · Austria TSV Hartberg or draw 79%
TSV Hartberg
2 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
✓ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 2. Bundesliga · Germany Karlsruher SC or draw 79%
Karlsruher SC
2 : 3 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Serie A · Brazil Atletico Goianiense or draw 78%
Atletico Goianiense
0 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#13 Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 77%
Botafogo
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Anderlecht or draw 77%
Anderlecht
2 : 0 FT
Oostende
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Primera División · Chile U. Catolica or draw 76%
U. Catolica
0 : 1 FT
Palestino
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#16 Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 76%
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset or draw 76%
Stromsgodset
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 76%
Hamburger SV
0 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Primera División · Chile O'Higgins or draw 76%
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#20 Serie A · Brazil Ceara or draw 75%
Juventude
1 : 0 FT
Ceara
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 24 July 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico-MG vs Corinthians (Atletico-MG or draw) at 82% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.