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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 7 May 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 7 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bristol Rovers vs Scunthorpe (Bristol Rovers or draw) at 91% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · England Bristol Rovers or draw 91%

Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 61%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 89%

✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 61% Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 55%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Ligue 2 · France Toulouse or draw 87%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 86%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 86%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 53%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 86%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 86%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#10

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 84%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%

#11

Championship · England Luton or draw 84%

#12

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hansa Rostock or draw 83%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%

#13

Ligue 2 · France Auxerre or draw 83%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 83%

#15

Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Köln or draw 82%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%

#16

Ligue 2 · France Bastia or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#17

Championship · England West Brom or draw 81%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#19

League Two · England Newport County or draw 81%

#20

Ligue 2 · France Caen or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 7 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol Rovers vs Scunthorpe (Bristol Rovers or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.