Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 1 March 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 1 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Northampton vs Walsall (Northampton or draw) at 88% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 88%
Northampton
1 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 57%
Draw 31%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 68% Northampton Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 87%
Emmen
1 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#3 League One Β· England Rotherham or draw 86%
Shrewsbury
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 14%
Draw 31%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Rotherham Clean Sheet 61%
#4 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 84%
Sheffield Wednesday
5 : 2 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Ternana or draw 81%
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#6 Championship Β· England Cardiff or draw 79%
Cardiff
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 League Two Β· England Rochdale or draw 78%
Carlisle
2 : 0 FT
Rochdale
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 77%
Seongnam FC
0 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 League Two Β· England Bristol Rovers or draw 76%
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 76%
Servette FC
1 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 24%
Draw 20%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 1 March 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Northampton vs Walsall (Northampton or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.