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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 1 February 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 1 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Tranmere vs Stevenage (Tranmere or draw) at 87% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 87%
Tranmere
1 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 League One Β· England Rotherham or draw 85%
Doncaster
0 : 5 FT
Rotherham
Win 15%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Rotherham Clean Sheet 60%
#3 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 84%
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 League Two Β· England Forest Green or draw 84%
Port Vale
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 80%
Northampton
0 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 78%
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Niort or draw 77%
Niort
2 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France PAU or draw 76%
PAU
0 : 3 FT
Nimes
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 League One Β· England Crewe or draw 76%
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
#10 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 75%
Bolton
2 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 1 February 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Tranmere vs Stevenage (Tranmere or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.