🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 30 January 2022

Thu 27 Fri 28 Sat 29 Sun 30 Mon 31 Tue 1 Wed 2

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 30 January 2022. FC Porto vs Maritimo (FC Porto or draw) led the list at 88% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium KVC Westerlo or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Championship · England Nottingham Forest or draw 84%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%

Championship · England Derby or draw 82%

Serie B · Italy Cittadella or draw 81%

Super League 1 · Greece PAS Giannina or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Super League · Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Nakhon Ratchasima FC or draw 77%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 30 January 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Maritimo (FC Porto or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.