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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 9 January 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 9 January 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Inter vs Lazio (Inter or draw) at 87% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 87%
Inter
2 : 1 FT
Lazio
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Hellas Verona or draw 86%
Hellas Verona
1 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kayserispor or draw 85%
Kayserispor
1 : 0 FT
Altay
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla or draw 84%
Sevilla
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 83%
Venezia
0 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 17%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 83%
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chonburi FC or draw 81%
Chonburi FC
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 80%
SC Braga
2 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Rayo Vallecano or draw 79%
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor or draw 79%
Konyaspor
0 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 78%
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany Hertha BSC or draw 78%
Hertha BSC
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 77%
Udinese
2 : 6 FT
Atalanta
Win 23%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal or draw 77%
Villarreal
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 77%
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 3 FT
Nice
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Arouca or draw 77%
Belenenses
2 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Bochum or draw 77%
VfL Bochum
1 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 77%
Alaves
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 23%
Draw 36%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg or draw 75%
Metz
0 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 9 January 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Lazio (Inter or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.