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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 29 December 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 29 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Blackburn vs Barnsley (Blackburn or draw) at 87% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Blackburn or draw 87%
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#2 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 84%
Brentford
0 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 16%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 League One Β· England Shrewsbury or draw 81%
Shrewsbury
0 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC or draw 81%
Vitória SC
1 : 1 FT
Boavista
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 81%
Swindon Town
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#6 League Two Β· England Barrow or draw 76%
Barrow
0 : 0 FT
Oldham
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 76%
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 29 December 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Blackburn vs Barnsley (Blackburn or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.