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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 1 January 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 1 January 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Forest Green vs Stevenage (Forest Green or draw) at 89% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies four of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Forest Green or draw 89%
Forest Green
2 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 27%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Forest Green Clean Sheet 54%
#2 League One Β· England Rotherham or draw 87%
Rotherham
2 : 1 FT
Bolton
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 League One Β· England Oxford United or draw 82%
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 League Two Β· England Hartlepool or draw 79%
Hartlepool
0 : 0 FT
Oldham
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 League One Β· England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 78%
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#6 League One Β· England Burton Albion or draw 77%
Burton Albion
4 : 1 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#7 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 76%
Swindon Town
5 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#8 League Two Β· England Crawley Town or draw 76%
Crawley Town
3 : 1 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 1 January 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Forest Green vs Stevenage (Forest Green or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.