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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 19 December 2021

Thu 16 Fri 17 Sat 18 Sun 19 Mon 20 Tue 21 Wed 22

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 19 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Real Madrid vs Cadiz (Real Madrid or draw) at 89% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Primeira Liga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 89%

Süper Lig · Turkey Kayserispor or draw 89%

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 87%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 83%

Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 83%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium KVC Westerlo or draw 80%

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 79%

#10

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#11

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#12

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 78%

#13

2. Bundesliga · Germany Karlsruher SC or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Rizespor or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%

#15

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 71%

#16

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#17

Serie A · Italy Torino or draw 76%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 19 December 2021?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Cadiz (Real Madrid or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.