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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 26 November 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 26 November 2021. Excelsior Virton vs SK Beveren (SK Beveren or draw) sits top on 86% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 86%
Excelsior Virton
0 : 3 FT
SK Beveren
Win 14%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 85%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 85%
ADO Den Haag
5 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw 83%
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3 : 1 FT
Dynamo Dresden
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 82%
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 3 FT
OH Leuven
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 81%
Adana Demirspor
0 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Lecce or draw 80%
Lecce
3 : 3 FT
Ternana
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 79%
Lens
2 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 78%
Başakşehir
0 : 0 FT
Altay
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Radomiak Radom or draw 78%
Wisla Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 78%
Roda
0 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 77%
FC Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 77%
Bahia
3 : 1 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 26 November 2021?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior Virton vs SK Beveren (SK Beveren or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.