Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 24 July 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 24 July 2021. Lokomotiv vs Arsenal Tula (Arsenal Tula or draw) led the list at 98% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 98% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
2. Bundesliga supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · Russia
Arsenal Tula or draw
98%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow or draw
98%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw
96%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
96%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw
96%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC or draw
96%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg or draw
96%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz or draw
96%
Bundesliga · Austria
Admira Wacker or draw
96%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96 or draw
87%
Super League · China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC or draw
86%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen or draw
85%
Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets or draw
83%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow or draw
83%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius or draw
82%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
81%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk or draw
81%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock or draw
80%
Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola or draw
79%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Oostende or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 24 July 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lokomotiv vs Arsenal Tula (Arsenal Tula or draw) at 98% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.