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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 19 July 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Monday 19 July 2021. Djurgardens IF vs Sirius (Djurgardens IF or draw) led the list at 89% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 89%
Djurgardens IF v Sirius prediction
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
BTTS No 55%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Valour or draw 86%
Valour v York United prediction
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Valour Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 83%
#4 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 81%
Shanghai Shenhua v Dalian Aerbin prediction
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 37%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano or draw 81%
A. Italiano v Huachipato prediction
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Haka or draw 80%
Kooteepee v Haka prediction
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 80%
RB Bragantino v Santos prediction
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan or draw 79%
Beijing Guoan v Tianjin Teda prediction
Win 42%
Draw 38%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 19 July 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Djurgardens IF vs Sirius (Djurgardens IF or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.