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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 17 July 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 17 July 2021. Haugesund vs Brann (Haugesund or draw) led the list at 91% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund or draw 91%
Haugesund v Brann prediction
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 57%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 90%
AC Oulu v HJK Helsinki prediction
Win 10%
Draw 23%
Win 68%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 70% HJK Helsinki Clean Sheet 63%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 89%
Molde v Mjondalen prediction
Molde
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 87%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Valerenga or draw 83%
Valerenga v Tromso prediction
Valerenga
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Stromsgodset or draw 83%
Stromsgodset v Sandefjord prediction
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg or draw 82%
Rosenborg v Lillestrom prediction
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera or draw 81%
Union La Calera v Curico Unido prediction
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Union La Calera Clean Sheet 53%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 81%
ODD Ballklubb v Viking prediction
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 78%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 17 July 2021?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Haugesund vs Brann (Haugesund or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.