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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 3 October 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

32 fixtures clear the bar on Saturday 3 October 2026. Waalwijk vs Emmen sits top on 82% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · England
Chesterfield
: 11:30
Tranmere
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
AFC Wimbledon
: 14:00
Stevenage
Win 33%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
League One · England
Barnsley
: 14:00
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Blackpool
: 14:00
Leicester
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League One · England
Bromley
: 14:00
Wycombe
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Burton Albion
: 14:00
Huddersfield
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Leyton Orient
: 14:00
Plymouth
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Luton
: 14:00
Doncaster
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Oxford United
: 14:00
Stockport County
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Peterborough
: 14:00
Notts County
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Reading
: 14:00
Bradford
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
: 14:00
Cambridge United
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
League One · England
Wigan
: 14:00
Mansfield Town
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Accrington ST
: 14:00
Cheltenham
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Barnet
: 14:00
York
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Colchester
: 14:00
Port Vale
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Crewe
: 14:00
Bristol Rovers
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Exeter City
: 14:00
Rotherham
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Gillingham
: 14:00
Newport County
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Grimsby
: 14:00
Shrewsbury
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Northampton
: 14:00
Oldham
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Rochdale
: 14:00
Swindon Town
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Salford City
: 14:00
Fleetwood Town
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Walsall
: 14:00
Crawley Town
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
: 14:30
NAC Breda
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
: 14:30
MVV
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
: 17:00
Cavalry FC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
: 18:00
FC Volendam
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
: 18:00
Dordrecht
Win 59%
Draw 18%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
: 18:00
De Graafschap
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
: 18:00
Emmen
Win 51%
Draw 19%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 79%
Model Score 2–1 · 7%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
: 20:00
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 3 October 2026?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by Waalwijk vs Emmen at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.