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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 27 December 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

30 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 December 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Brentford vs Bournemouth at 79% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 18%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
2 : 1 FT
Pescara
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 27%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
0 : 3 FT
Como
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
1 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Venezia Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 1 FT
Reggiana
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Mantova
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 0 FT
Cesena
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Brentford
4 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 18%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Premier League Β· England
Burnley
0 : 0 FT
Everton
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
0 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 35%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
0 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Padova
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 3 FT
Estrela
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Avellino
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Pisa
0 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 19%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 76% ✓ Juventus Clean Sheet 60%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 23%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
2 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
4 : 1 FT
Alverca
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 30 of 30 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 27 December 2025?

30 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brentford vs Bournemouth at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.