Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Tuesday 1 October 2024

Sat 28 Sun 29 Mon 30 Tue 1 Wed 2 Thu 3 Fri 4

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 1 October 2024. Carlisle vs Notts County sits top on 65% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Canadian Premier League · Canada

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 55%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Championship · England

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Championship · England

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Championship · England

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Championship · England

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League One · England

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

League One · England

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

League One · England

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League One · England

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

League One · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League One · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

League One · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League One · England

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

League One · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League One · England

✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Stevenage Clean Sheet 57%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 21%

League One · England

Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League Two · England

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

League Two · England

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–2 · 10%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League Two · England

Model Score 2–0 · 12%

League Two · England

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

League Two · England

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League Two · England

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%

League Two · England

✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Championship · England

✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%

Model Score 1–0 · 18%

League One · England

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 1 October 2024?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by Carlisle vs Notts County at 65% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.