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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Monday 6 May 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

30 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 6 May 2024. Al Bataeh vs Al-Wasl FC led the list at 73% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 18%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
0 : 5 FT
A. Italiano
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dnipro-1
1 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 1 FT
Dundalk
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Ural
2 : 1 FT
Baltika
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
0 : 1 FT
Al Ain
Win 17%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 62%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 2 FT
Emirates Club
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Zenit
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
3 : 1 FT
Minai
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 32%
Draw 40%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 72%
Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 3 FT
Waterford
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 38%
Draw 39%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 18%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 62%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 4 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 18%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 1 FT
Trelleborg
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Pendikspor
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Gais
2 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Rubin
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 3 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 23%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 FT
Manchester United
✓ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
3 : 4 FT
Lyon
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Showing 30 of 30 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 6 May 2024?

30 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Bataeh vs Al-Wasl FC at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.