Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 1 September 2023

Tue 29 Wed 30 Thu 31 Fri 1 Sat 2 Sun 3 Mon 4

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

41 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 1 September 2023. MVV vs Jong Ajax led the list at 74% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–0 · 11%

K League 1 · South-Korea

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

K League 1 · South-Korea

✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%

Model Score 0–0 · 19%

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Eintracht Braunschweig

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Serie A · Italy

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

La Liga · Spain

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 0–1 · 11%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Model Score 1–2 · 9%

Super League 1 · Greece

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Süper Lig · Turkey

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Bundesliga · Germany

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Premier Division · Ireland

Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Premier League · England

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Ligue 1 · France

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

La Liga · Spain

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 41 of 41 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 1 September 2023?

41 fixtures met the criteria, led by MVV vs Jong Ajax at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.