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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 24 February 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

32 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 24 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach at 73% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
2 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
1 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
1 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 3 FT
Utrecht
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 4 FT
De Graafschap
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
7 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
0 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 0 FT
Lommel United
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
4 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 2 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
3 : 4 FT
Parma
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 62% Frosinone Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
2 : 1 FT
Perugia
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
1 : 0 FT
Austria Lustenau
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
3 : 3 FT
Kortrijk
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 1 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
2 : 3 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Fulham
1 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
2 : 3 FT
Real Betis
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
1 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 24 February 2023?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.