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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 16 January 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Monday 16 January 2023. FC Eindhoven vs Den Bosch sits top on 61% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
0 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 23%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
4 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
2 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
0 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
1 : 1 FT
Elche
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
2 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%

Showing 11 of 11 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 16 January 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs Den Bosch at 61% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.