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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 19 October 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 33 fixtures on Wednesday 19 October 2022. SJK vs AC Oulu led the list at 71% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
2 : 2 FT
Inhulets
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 63% Dnipro-1 Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
0 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
0 : 1 FT
Minai
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 5 FT
VPS
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
0 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
jerv
0 : 1 FT
Aalesund
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 0 FT
Gent
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 3 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 28%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
4 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
0 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier League Β· England
Brentford
0 : 0 FT
Chelsea
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
1 : 0 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 4 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 28%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
3 : 3 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Birmingham
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Blackpool
1 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
QPR
3 : 0 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Wigan
1 : 4 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
3 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
2 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Millwall
3 : 0 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
0 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 0 FT
Tottenham
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
1 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 19 October 2022?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by SJK vs AC Oulu at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.